Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.489607 19.849234 22.419110 25.427373 28.854446 32.639647 37.141116
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 14.223265 17.322466 20.948607 25.510590 31.106117 37.757777 46.283825
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 11.341075 14.711992 18.917622 24.563551 31.966992 41.375312 54.289016
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.143867 12.579325 17.129964 23.622186 32.687338 44.956675 62.927141
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.656340 11.134553 16.010720 23.381897 34.310730 50.023401 74.522247
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.577492 10.083374 15.270632 23.557574 36.570977 56.399109 89.239172
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.635515 9.080150 14.443413 23.473077 38.450755 62.573953 104.912382
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.038654 8.515681 14.201383 24.271105 41.883125 71.819966 127.418606
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.415917 7.806240 13.612242 24.399417 44.239069 79.736885 149.323074
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.770295 6.951140 12.639355 23.694439 45.013993 85.055276 167.679322
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.286001 6.306584 11.936605 23.361942 46.424335 91.814851 190.249418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.999514 5.986842 11.784801 24.060165 49.974915 103.387315 225.054029
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.761495 5.735036 11.748114 25.039973 54.414894 117.885774 269.951376
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.479596 5.347098 11.376187 25.262108 57.320588 129.792069 312.051413
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.149909 4.802344 10.586679 24.433126 57.744088 136.331163 343.270426
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.868013 4.315957 9.844825 23.580733 57.965025 142.504200 375.276181
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.672027 3.993475 9.420683 23.407502 59.822921 153.097250 421.576613
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.525638 3.763991 9.176694 23.637279 62.770060 167.134249 481.020434
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.382020 3.517015 8.849345 23.595576 65.012349 179.849731 540.212738
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.298368 3.408196 8.851012 24.433683 69.867523 200.884735 630.063616
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.192057 3.221866 8.620540 24.591723 72.837821 217.246217 710.042697
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.063514 2.953678 8.126032 23.903436 73.171682 225.885749 767.474857
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.964622 2.751422 7.779433 23.585621 74.584547 238.217233 841.081115